The Trump Risk Index 2024

As the world braces for potential shifts in U.S. leadership, a critical question emerges: which nations are most at risk of being impacted by Donald Trump’s core policies? Trump’s policies around trade, immigration, and security are expected to have wide-reaching consequences, with some nations facing higher stakes than others.

This post draws insights from the Economist’s Trump Risk Index, which evaluates America’s 70 largest trading partners across a set of indicators. The index measures risk across three pillars: trade, security, and immigration. Here, we’ll unpack the countries most exposed to these risks and explore why they rank so highly.

The Trump Risk Index evaluates each nation’s exposure to potential U.S. policy shifts. The Index’s top ten most vulnerable countries tell a revealing story about Trump’s geopolitical influence and the effects on these countries’ economies and security: